MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Q1, 2025 Real GDP Growth |
5.3% |
Average Real GDP Growth for 2025 |
5.3% |
2025 Projected Real GDP Growth |
4.0% |
BoG Policy Rate |
28.0% |
Weekly Interbank Interest Rate |
27.02% |
Inflation for June 2025 |
13.7% |
End Period Inflation Target – 2025 |
11.9% |
Budget Deficit (% GDP) – Dec, 2024 |
3.9% |
2025 Budget Deficit Target (%GDP) |
3.1% |
Public Debt (billion GH¢) – Mar, 2025 |
769.4 |
Debt to GDP Ratio – Mar, 2025 |
55.0% |
STOCK MARKET REVIEW
The Ghana Stock Exchange extended its strong run for the fourth consecutive week as five (5) counters saw significant price movements last week.
The GSE Composite Index (GSE-CI) gained 98.99 points (+1.58%) for the week to close at 6,347.47 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 29.84%.
The GSE Financial Index (GSE-FI) rose by 29.33 points (+0.87%) for the week to close at 3,405.34 points, reflecting a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 43.03%.
Market capitalization grew by 0.91% to close the week at GH¢138,549.16 million, from GH¢137,302.04 million at the close of the previous week. This reflects a YTD gain of 24.42%.
The week recorded a total of 255,383,294 shares, valued at GH¢1,299,967,891.42, compared with 5,785,849 shares valued at GH¢21,808,497.25 that were traded in the preceding week.
GGBL dominated both the volume and value of trades, accounting for 96.83% and 97.97% of the volume and value of shares traded, respectively.
The market ended the week strong with 5 gainers and 1 laggard as indicated below:
Price Movers for the Week |
|||
Equity |
Opening Price |
Closing Price |
Gain/Loss (%) |
TOTAL |
27.50 |
30.25 |
?10.00% |
ABG |
13.60 |
14.95 |
?9.93% |
RBGH |
0.66 |
0.72 |
?9.09% |
MTNGH |
2.93 |
2.98 |
?1.71% |
GLD |
353.88 |
354.80 |
?0.26% |
GCB |
10.00 |
9.90 |
?1.00% |
Source: Ghana Stock Exchange
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi retreated marginally against the USD for the week. It traded at GH¢10.3200/$, compared with GH¢10.3100/$ at week open, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 0.10% and 42.44% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 19.02% a year ago.
The Cedi edged higher against the GBP. It traded at GH¢14.0879/£, compared with GH¢14.1479/£ at week open, reflecting w/w and YTD gains of 0.43% and 30.61% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 19.44% a year ago.
The Cedi tightened against the Euro for the week. It traded at GH¢12.1259/€, compared with GH¢12.0675/€ at week open, reflecting w/w loss and YTD appreciation of 0.48% and 25.47% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 17.36% a year ago.
The Cedi again slipped against the Canadian Dollar for the week. It opened at GH¢7.5476/C$ and closed at GH¢7.6079/C$, reflecting w/w depreciation and YTD gain of 0.79% and 34.21% respectively. This compares with a depreciation of 16.27% a year ago.
Weekly Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates |
|||||
Currency Pair |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-24 |
30-06-25 |
03-07-25 |
|
|
USD/GHS |
14.7001 |
10.3100 |
10.3200 |
?0.10 |
?42.44 |
GBP/GHS |
18.4008 |
14.1479 |
14.0879 |
?0.43 |
?30.61 |
EUR/GHS |
15.2141 |
12.0675 |
12.1259 |
?0.48 |
?25.47 |
CAD/GHS |
10.2107 |
7.5476 |
7.6079 |
?0.79 |
?34.21 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET
The government raised a sum of GH¢2,967.87 million for the week across the 91-Day, 182-Day, and 364-Day Treasury Bills. This compares with GH¢3,343.32 million raised in the previous week.
The 91-Day Bill settled at 14.57% p.a. from 14.69% p.a. last week, whilst the 182-Day Bill settled at 15.02% p.a. from 15.25% p.a. last week. The 364-Day Bill settled at 15.17% p.a. from 15.66% p.a. last week.
The tables below highlight primary market activity at the close of the week.
Security |
Year Open |
Previous Yield % |
Current Yield % |
WoW Chg (%) |
YTD Chg (%) |
|
01-01-25 |
30-06-25 |
03-07-25 |
|
|
91 Day TB |
28.04 |
14.69 |
14.57 |
?0.86 |
?48.04 |
182 Day TB |
28.68 |
15.25 |
15.02 |
?1.52 |
?47.64 |
364 Day TB |
30.07 |
15.66 |
15.17 |
?3.12 |
?49.56 |
Source: Bank of Ghana
The Ghana Market Summary |
|||
|
Current |
Previous |
Change |
Bid (GH¢' M) |
2,967.87 |
3,343.32 |
?11.23% |
Issuance (GH¢' M) |
2,967.87 |
3,643.04 |
?18.53% |
Target (GH¢' M) |
3,356 |
3,860 |
?13.06% |
Maturity (GH¢' M) |
2,236.95 |
3,722.29 |
?39.90% |
Target coverage ratio |
0.88 |
0.94 |
na |
Maturity coverage ratio |
1.33 |
0.98 |
na |
Bid / Cover ratio |
1.00 |
0.92 |
na |
Source: Bank of Ghana
Weekly BOG Gold Coin Prices |
|||||
BOG Gold Coins |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Change% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
30-06-25 |
03-07-25 |
|
|
1.00 oz |
40,169.31 |
35,930.42 |
36,106.37 |
?0.49 |
?10.11 |
0.50 oz |
20,486.68 |
18,301.56 |
18,389.54 |
?0.48 |
?10.24 |
0.25 oz |
10,675.23 |
9,508.31 |
9,552.30 |
?0.46 |
?10.52 |
COMMODITY MARKET
Oil prices rose as Iran suspended cooperation with the U.N. nuclear watchdog and the United States of America. Brent futures traded at US$68.80 a barrel, compared to US$67.77 at week open, reflecting w/w gain and YTD depreciation of 1.52% and 7.82% respectively.
Gold prices edged higher on the back of U.S. fiscal deficit worries and Washington’s impending tariff decision. Gold settled at US$3,342.90, from US$3,287.60 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD appreciations of 1.68% and 26.58% respectively.
The price of Cocoa grew for the week. Cocoa traded at US$8,101.00 per tonne on Friday, from US$8,921.00 last week, reflecting w/w and YTD losses of 9.19% and 29.83% respectively.
International Commodity Prices
Commodities |
Year Open |
Week Open |
Week Close |
Chg% |
YTD % |
|
01-01-25 |
30-06-25 |
03-07-25 |
|
|
Brent crude oil (USD/bbl) |
74.64 |
67.77 |
68.80 |
?1.52 |
?7.82 |
Gold (USD/t oz.) |
2,641.00 |
3,287.60 |
3,342.90 |
?1.68 |
?26.58 |
Cocoa (USD/MT) |
11,545.00 |
8,921.00 |
8,101.00 |
?9.19 |
?29.83 |
Source: www.investing.com
INVESTMENT TERM OF THE WEEK
Unlevered Beta: Beta is a measure of market risk. Unlevered beta (or asset beta) measures the market risk of the company without the impact of debt. 'Unlevering' a beta removes the financial effects of leverage thus isolating the risk due solely to company assets. In other words, how much did the company's equity contribute to its risk profile
Source:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/u/unleveredbeta.asp
ABOUT CIDAN
CIDAN Investments Limited is an investment and fund management company licensed by the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) and the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA).
RESEARCH TEAM
Name: Ernest Tannor
Email: etannor@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 54 836 7639
Name: Moses Nana Osei-Yeboah
Email: moyeboah@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 24 499 0069
Name: Julian Sapara-Grant
Email: jsgrant@cidaninvestments.com
Tel: +233 (0) 20 821 2079
CORPORATE INFORMATION
CIDAN Investments Limited
CIDAN House
House No. 261
Haatso, North Legon – Accra
Tel: +233 (0) 27 690 0011/ 55 989 9935
Fax: +233 (0)30 254 4351
Email: info@cidaninvestments.com
Website: www.cidaninvestments.com
Disclaimer: The contents of this report have been prepared to provide you with general information only. Information provided in and available from this report does not constitute any investment recommendation.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed.