Fuel prices in Ghana could see a downward adjustment in the coming days following a sharp fall in global oil prices triggered by a peace agreement between the United States and Iran.

Oil prices dropped significantly in Asian trading on Monday after Pakistan, which has been mediating efforts to end the US-Iran conflict, announced a breakthrough deal that includes the reopening of the strategic Strait of Hormuz — a key global shipping route for crude oil and liquefied natural gas.

The development was reinforced by U.S. President Donald Trump, who announced on social media that the agreement would allow “the oil flow” to resume freely through the vital waterway.

Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil pricing, fell by about 4.8% to $83.18 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate also declined by 5.6% to $80.13 per barrel.

The price drop on the international market raises expectations that Ghana’s fuel import costs could ease, potentially translating into lower prices at the pumps in the coming pricing window, depending on domestic market adjustments by oil marketing companies.

Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said a formal signing ceremony for the agreement is expected to take place on Friday, June 19, in Switzerland. Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi also confirmed on state television that a deal with the United States had been finalised.

Energy analysts, however, caution that uncertainty remains over the full implementation of the agreement, which could keep global oil markets volatile in the short term.

Vandana Hari of Vanda Insights noted that the lack of detailed information on the deal could “inject unease and uncertainty into the market,” warning of continued price fluctuations over the coming week.

The Strait of Hormuz had been largely disrupted since the escalation of tensions following military strikes involving the United States and Israel earlier in the year. The waterway normally carries about 20% of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas trade.

Experts also caution that even with the agreement in place, oil flows are unlikely to immediately return to normal levels. Industry consultant Andrew Lipow explained that mines in the waterway would need to be cleared and shipping backlogs resolved, a process that could take weeks or even months.

Despite the uncertainties, global markets reacted positively to the development. Asian stock markets surged on Monday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 rising by 5.4% and South Korea’s Kospi climbing by more than 5.5%, as investors welcomed the easing of geopolitical tensions.

Energy markets have experienced sharp volatility in recent months, with crude oil prices swinging widely in response to developments in the conflict. Brent crude had previously surged to around $120 per barrel at the height of tensions, before easing back to about $70 prior to the latest escalation.

For Ghana, which relies heavily on imported refined petroleum products, the latest global price drop is being closely watched as a possible relief factor for consumers already grappling with high fuel costs.