Mussa Dankwah, Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, has admitted that his pre-election poll did not anticipate the scale of former Assin Central MP and NPP presidential aspirant Kennedy Agyapong’s collapse in the party’s January 31 primaries.

According to Global InfoAnalytics’ pre-election survey, former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia was projected to lead with 57 percent, while Kennedy Agyapong trailed with 28 percent. Dr. Bryan Acheampong was estimated at 13 percent, Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum at 2 percent, and Engineer Kwabena Agyepong at zero percent.

The actual results, however, showed a decisive win for Dr. Bawumia, who secured 110,643 votes, representing 56.48 percent, positioning him as the NPP flagbearer for the next general elections. Kennedy Agyapong placed second with 46,554 votes (23.76 percent), while Dr. Bryan Acheampong came third with 36,303 votes (18.53 percent). Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum polled 1,999 votes (1.02 percent), and Kwabena Agyei Agyepong recorded 402 votes (0.21 percent).

Speaking to Bernard Avle on Channel One  TV’s The Point of View on Monday, February 2, Mussa Dankwah said, “We didn’t expect the collapse of Kennedy to be so catastrophic in the end. And the ripple effect was really what we saw. Kennedy Agyapong underperformed in our worst-case scenario for him.”

On Dr. Bryan Acheampong’s performance, Mussa Dankwah noted that the former minister exceeded expectations.

“Bryan overperformed in our best case. Yes, he did. [Bryan’s performance surprised me]. Even though we saw it coming. In the headline poll, he was at 6 percent. But in our prediction, we doubled him to 13 percent. That was probably making him look pessimistic,” he stated.

The results confirm Dr. Bawumia’s strong support within the party and highlight significant deviations from polling predictions for other candidates, particularly Kennedy Agyapong.